The Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Finland and the Netherlands will take place on June 7 at the Olympic Stadium in Helsinki. Finland vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.
Finland
The national team had a mixed start in the World Cup qualifying campaign. First, they narrowly defeated Malta 1-0 away, and then drew 2-2 on the road against Lithuania. Despite this, Finland has accumulated 4 points and currently sits second in Group G. The group's favorites, the Netherlands, have yet to play a match in the qualifiers.
- Finland has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 14 World Cup qualifying matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
- A maximum of three goals have been scored in 7 of Finland's last 9 games in this tournament.
- At home, the team has won only two of their last 10 World Cup qualifying matches (3 draws and 5 losses).
Predicted lineup for Finland (4-3-3)
Lukáš Hrádecký – Jere Uronen, Robert Ivanov, Miro Tenho, Nikolai Alho – Robin Lod, Kaan Kairinen, Glen Kamara – Joel Pohjanpalo, Fredrik Jensen, Onni Valakari.
Midfielder Roman Eremenko has left the squad due to injury.
Netherlands
Ronald Koeman's side did not play World Cup qualifiers in March as they were involved in the Nations League. The Netherlands failed to reach the Nations League semi-finals, losing to Spain over two legs (two 2-2 draws, 1-1 in extra time, 4-5 on penalties). Notably, the Netherlands finished their last World Cup qualifying campaign with a 9-match unbeaten streak, securing 7 wins and 2 draws.
- The team has scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying matches.
- The Netherlands have won the first half in their last five World Cup qualifying games.
- The Dutch have conceded in 8 of their last 10 away World Cup qualifying matches.
Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-3-3)
Mark Flekken – Denzel Dumfries, Micky van de Ven, Virgil van Dijk, Lutsharel Geertruida – Justin Kluivert, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong – Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen.
Referee
Daniel Siebert (Germany)
Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;
Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;
Red cards shown – 5;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 17%.
Finland vs. Netherlands: Match Prediction
It seems unlikely that Finland will challenge Poland and the Netherlands for the top two spots in Group G. The team is noticeably weaker than these opponents, and the initial qualifying matches have shown that even against the underdogs, they look unconvincing.
The Netherlands, however, are viewed as the main favorites in the group. While they are currently without points, there is no doubt that they will start collecting them in the upcoming two matches and quickly rise to the top of the table. I predict that Ronald Koeman's side will win the upcoming match, likely by two or more goals. Finland has not impressed at home and lost their last two World Cup qualifiers to Ukraine (1-2) and England (0-2). Additionally, Finland has lost their last three home matches at the official level. Facing the Netherlands will be very challenging for the hosts.
My prediction: Netherlands with a handicap of (-1.5)