Finland vs Netherlands: prediction & betting odds 7 June 2025

The Matchday 3 World Cup 2026 qualifier between Finland and the Netherlands will take place on June 7 at the Olympic Stadium in Helsinki. Finland vs. Netherlands: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Finland

The national team had a mixed start in the World Cup qualifying campaign. First, they narrowly defeated Malta 1-0 away, and then drew 2-2 on the road against Lithuania. Despite this, Finland has accumulated 4 points and currently sits second in Group G. The group's favorites, the Netherlands, have yet to play a match in the qualifiers.

  • Finland has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 14 World Cup qualifying matches (6 wins and 5 draws).
  • A maximum of three goals have been scored in 7 of Finland's last 9 games in this tournament.
  • At home, the team has won only two of their last 10 World Cup qualifying matches (3 draws and 5 losses).

Predicted lineup for Finland (4-3-3)

Lukáš Hrádecký – Jere Uronen, Robert Ivanov, Miro Tenho, Nikolai Alho – Robin Lod, Kaan Kairinen, Glen Kamara – Joel Pohjanpalo, Fredrik Jensen, Onni Valakari.

Midfielder Roman Eremenko has left the squad due to injury.

Netherlands

Ronald Koeman's side did not play World Cup qualifiers in March as they were involved in the Nations League. The Netherlands failed to reach the Nations League semi-finals, losing to Spain over two legs (two 2-2 draws, 1-1 in extra time, 4-5 on penalties). Notably, the Netherlands finished their last World Cup qualifying campaign with a 9-match unbeaten streak, securing 7 wins and 2 draws.

  • The team has scored at least two goals in 11 of their last 13 World Cup qualifying matches.
  • The Netherlands have won the first half in their last five World Cup qualifying games.
  • The Dutch have conceded in 8 of their last 10 away World Cup qualifying matches.

Predicted lineup for the Netherlands (4-3-3)

Mark Flekken – Denzel Dumfries, Micky van de Ven, Virgil van Dijk, Lutsharel Geertruida – Justin Kluivert, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong – Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo, Donyell Malen.

Referee

Daniel Siebert (Germany)

Matches – 12 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 56;

Average yellow cards per match – 4.7;

Red cards shown – 5;

Average fouls per match – 23;

Penalties – 17%.

Finland vs. Netherlands: Match Prediction

It seems unlikely that Finland will challenge Poland and the Netherlands for the top two spots in Group G. The team is noticeably weaker than these opponents, and the initial qualifying matches have shown that even against the underdogs, they look unconvincing.

The Netherlands, however, are viewed as the main favorites in the group. While they are currently without points, there is no doubt that they will start collecting them in the upcoming two matches and quickly rise to the top of the table. I predict that Ronald Koeman's side will win the upcoming match, likely by two or more goals. Finland has not impressed at home and lost their last two World Cup qualifiers to Ukraine (1-2) and England (0-2). Additionally, Finland has lost their last three home matches at the official level. Facing the Netherlands will be very challenging for the hosts.

My prediction: Netherlands with a handicap of (-1.5)

Betting tips 7 June 2025

After two rounds in Group G, Finland sit second behind Poland, but that position may be short-lived. The Netherlands are set to join the action, with the UEFA Euro 2024 semi-finalists targeting nothing less than direct qualification for the World Cup.

Finland have collected four points from a possible six, a return that can be seen as underwhelming. In their opening match, they managed just one goal against Malta, the weakest side in the group. Despite having a numerical advantage from the 78th minute, Finland failed to add to their slender lead. The hosts had almost double the number of shots (19) compared to Finland (10). In the following game against Lithuania, they let a 2:0 lead slip away.

While Finland were engaged in group fixtures, the Netherlands were competing for a place in the UEFA Nations League semi-finals, ultimately being eliminated by Spain. Despite scoring five goals across both legs, they were eliminated after a penalty shootout in which they missed one more attempt than their opponents.

Even so, given that the Netherlands managed to score at least twice in both matches against the reigning European champions, they are expected to find the net on at least two occasions against Finland as well. That should be enough to secure all three points. A similar outcome occurred in their 2011 encounter.

Betting prediction
Netherlands to win + Netherlands Total Over 1.5 – Yes
Cf
Odds
1/2
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Finland vs Netherlands Odds

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World Cup: previous matches in the tournament

Finland
24.03.25
Lithuania
Finland
D
21.03.25
Malta
Finland
W
More matches
Netherlands
The team hasn't played a game yet this season

Group stage

WC Qualification Europe: Group G
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Poland
  -:- 1:0 -:- 2:0 2 2 0 0
3:0
6
2
Finland
-:-   -:- 0:2 -:- 2 1 1 0
3:2
4
3
Lithuania
-:- 2:2   -:- -:- 2 0 1 1
2:3
1
4
Netherlands
-:- -:- -:-   -:- 0 0 0 0
0:0
0
5
Malta
-:- 0:1 0:0 -:-   2 0 0 2
0:3
0

Team lineups

Finland

M. Kanerva
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Lukáš Hrádecký
gk. 0 0
Arttu Hoskonen
df. 0 0
Jere Juhani Uronen
df. 0 0
Matti Peltola
df. 0 0
Miro Tenho
df. 0 0
Nikolai Aleksanteri Alho
df. 0 0
Robert Ivanov
df. 0 0
Kaan Kairinen
mf. 0 0
Robin Lod
mf. 0 0
Joel Pohjanpalo
fw. 0 0
Oliver Antman
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Jesse Joronen
gk. 0 0
Viljami Kari Veikko Sinisalo
gk. 0 0
Juhani Elias Pikkarainen
df. 0 0
Ville Tikkanen
df. 0 0
Anssi Tapio Suhonen
mf. 0 0
Fredrik Jensen
mf. 0 0
Glen Kamara
mf. 0 0
Ilmari Matias Niskanen
mf. 0 0
Onni Johannes Simonpoika Valakari
mf. 0 0
Tommi Matti Jyry
mf. 0 0
Benjamin Källman
fw. 0 0
Teemu Eino Antero Pukki
fw. 0 0
Netherlands

R. Koeman
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Mark Flekken
gk. 0 0
Denzel Dumfries
df. 0 0
Jan Paul van Hecke
df. 0 0
Jeremie Agyekum Frimpong
df. 0 0
Nathan Aké
df. 0 0
Virgil van Dijk
df. 0 0
Frenkie de Jong
mf. 0 0
Ryan Gravenberch
mf. 0 0
Tijani Reijnders
mf. 0 0
Cody Gakpo
fw. 0 0
Memphis Depay
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Kjell Scherpen
gk. 0 0
Nick Olij
gk. 0 0
Jorrel Hato
df. 0 0
Lutsharel Geertruida
df. 0 0
Micky van de Ven
df. 0 0
Stefan de Vrij
df. 0 0
Mats Wieffer
mf. 0 0
Xavier Quentin Shay Simons
mf. 0 0
Donyell Malen
fw. 0 0
Justin Kluivert
fw. 0 0
Noa Lang
fw. 0 0
Wout Weghorst
fw. 0 0

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Andy H
Andy H
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